FIRE Calculator — United States

Work out the earliest age you could retire and stay retired. This model runs your real cash flow year by year — tax, employer contributions, investment growth and fees — then tests every possible retirement age to find the first one that survives all the way to your planning horizon.

Rules & rates

American rules, 2026 tax year

Your situation

Everything in today's dollars.

35
1870

Retirement age

Income & spending

$

Take-home after tax: $76,855

$
$

What you have invested

$
$
$

Earliest FIRE age

Age 51

That is 16 years from now, around 2042. From that age the portfolio funds your spending all the way to 95, including the years before 401(k) unlocks.

Target portfolio
$1,500,000
Projected at retirement
$1,290,043
Savings rate
29%

Save this scenario with Plus. Keep as many scenarios as you like, compare them, track your progress and export the full year-by-year schedule.

General information, not advice

This calculator estimates the earliest age your investments could pay for the retirement spending you enter, and whether they last to the age you plan to. It works only from the figures and assumptions on this page and does not take your objectives, financial situation or needs into account. It is not intended to be relied on for making a decision about a financial product. Consider getting advice from a financial services licensee before making any financial decision.

Why you can retire on less than the 4.0% target

The $1,500,000 target is the simple 4.0% rule — a portfolio big enough to live off indefinitely. Your plan reaches $1,290,043 and still works, because it only has to last to age 95, and it keeps compounding the whole time you are drawing on it. It leaves less margin for a bad run of markets, which the drawdown simulator tests.

Portfolio through to your planning horizon

Shown in today's dollars, so every figure keeps the purchasing power you understand right now.

  • Brokerage
  • 401(k)
  • Target to sustain spending
Left at the end
$730,657

In today's dollars, at age 95

Money runs out
Never
Year one saving
$27,155

Including employer contributions

Assumptions and limitations

Every result above rests on these assumptions, and each can be changed in the inputs. Why the defaults are reasonable

Return — Brokerage
8.0% a year, before fees
Return — 401(k)
8.0% a year, before fees
Fees
0.05% brokerage · 0.15% 401(k)
Tax drag — Brokerage
0.40% a year
Inflation
2.5% a year
Salary growth
3.5% a year
Withdrawal rate
4.0%
Plan to age
95
Tax on withdrawals
8.0%
Tax and 401(k) rules
2026 law, indexed to inflation
401(k) unlocks at
Age 59½

Limitations

  • Returns are the same every year. Real markets rise and fall. A run of poor years early in retirement can use up savings sooner than this shows, even when the average return is the same. The drawdown simulator tests that risk.
  • Tax and 401(k) rules are 2026 law. Brackets, contribution limits and the standard deduction rise with inflation, as the law provides. Any change to the law will change the result.
  • Social Security is a flat amount you add. It is the amount you enter, from the age you choose. Your actual benefit depends on your earnings record and the age you claim.
  • Tax is simplified. Withdrawals are taxed at one flat rate, and capital gains cost bases, Roth accounts, property, businesses, pensions and differences between spouses are not modelled. Your actual tax may be higher or lower.
  • Small differences compound. Over decades, a 1% difference in returns or fees, or a change in spending, can move the result by years. The “What actually moves your date” panel shows how much each one moves yours.

The bridge: 8.5 years before 401(k) unlocks

Retiring at 51 means funding everything from taxable brokerage until age 59½.

Covered
Needed for the bridge
$510,000

8.5 years of spending

Accessible at retirement
$550,422

Taxable brokerage

Surplus
$40,422

The bridge holds

Your accessible investments cover every year before age 59½, so the plan does not depend on reaching 401(k) + ira early.

What actually moves your date

Each row changes one thing and re-runs the whole projection.

  • Spend $5k less a year

    Cuts both what you need and what you must save towards.

    -2 yr

    Age 49

  • Earn 10% more

    A raise, with the extra going straight to investments.

    -2 yr

    Age 49

  • Fees 0.5% lower

    Fees on both pools half a percent a year below what you assumed.

    No change

    Age 51

  • Returns 1% lower

    A more pessimistic market than the one you assumed.

    +3 yr

    Age 54

  • Live 5 years longer

    A longer horizon the portfolio has to stretch to cover.

    No change

    Age 51

  • Retire on 10% more

    A more comfortable retirement budget than you planned for.

    +1 yr

    Age 52

Where your money goes this year

Based on United States rules for the 2026 tax year.

Gross income
$110,000
401(k) contribution
−$12,000
Income tax
−$12,730
FICA
−$8,415
Take-home pay
$76,855
Spending
−$65,000
Into brokerage
$11,855
Employer match
$3,300
Into 401(k)
$15,300

Year by year

Retirement years are shaded.

AgeYearSpendingBrokerage401(k)Total
352026$65,000$93k$177k$270k
362027$65,000$110k$202k$311k
372028$65,000$128k$228k$356k
382029$65,000$148k$256k$404k
392030$65,000$170k$285k$455k
402031$65,000$194k$316k$510k
412032$65,000$219k$348k$568k
422033$65,000$247k$383k$630k
432034$65,000$276k$419k$696k
442035$65,000$308k$458k$766k
452036$65,000$342k$499k$841k
462037$65,000$378k$542k$920k
472038$65,000$417k$587k$1.00m
482039$65,000$459k$635k$1.09m
492040$65,000$503k$686k$1.19m
502041$65,000$550k$740k$1.29m
512042$60,000$507k$778k$1.29m
522043$60,000$462k$819k$1.28m
532044$60,000$415k$862k$1.28m
542045$60,000$365k$907k$1.27m
552046$60,000$313k$954k$1.27m
562047$60,000$258k$1.00m$1.26m
572048$60,000$201k$1.06m$1.26m
582049$60,000$141k$1.11m$1.25m
592050$60,000$77k$1.17m$1.25m
602051$60,000$77k$1.16m$1.24m
612052$60,000$76k$1.16m$1.24m
622053$60,000$76k$1.15m$1.23m
632054$60,000$75k$1.15m$1.22m
642055$60,000$75k$1.14m$1.22m
652056$60,000$74k$1.14m$1.21m
662057$60,000$73k$1.13m$1.20m
672058$60,000$73k$1.12m$1.19m
682059$60,000$72k$1.11m$1.19m
692060$60,000$71k$1.11m$1.18m
702061$60,000$71k$1.10m$1.17m
712062$60,000$70k$1.09m$1.16m
722063$60,000$69k$1.08m$1.15m
732064$60,000$68k$1.07m$1.14m
742065$60,000$67k$1.06m$1.13m
752066$60,000$66k$1.05m$1.11m
762067$60,000$66k$1.04m$1.10m
772068$60,000$65k$1.02m$1.09m
782069$60,000$64k$1.01m$1.08m
792070$60,000$63k$999k$1.06m
802071$60,000$62k$985k$1.05m
812072$60,000$60k$970k$1.03m
822073$60,000$59k$954k$1.01m
832074$60,000$58k$938k$996k
842075$60,000$57k$921k$978k
852076$60,000$56k$903k$958k
862077$60,000$54k$884k$938k
872078$60,000$53k$863k$916k
882079$60,000$51k$842k$894k
892080$60,000$50k$820k$870k
902081$60,000$48k$796k$845k
912082$60,000$47k$772k$818k
922083$60,000$45k$746k$791k
932084$60,000$43k$718k$761k
942085$60,000$41k$689k$731k

Save this scenario with Plus. Keep as many scenarios as you like, compare them, track your progress and export the full year-by-year schedule.

How this works

When can I retire, and will it actually hold?

Why this differs from a simple 4% rule

Multiplying your spending by 25 gives you a target, not a plan. It ignores the fact that a large share of your wealth is locked away until preservation age, that your contributions are taxed differently on the way in, and that fees compound against you for decades. This calculator simulates all of it.

How the earliest retirement age is found

The model builds your full accumulation path, then for every candidate age it runs a complete drawdown to your planning horizon. The earliest age where the money never runs out — including through the bridge years before your retirement accounts unlock — is your FIRE age.

What to do with the answer

Treat it as a direction, not a date. Move one input at a time — spending, savings rate, expected return — and watch how many years it buys you. Spending is almost always the most powerful lever, because every dollar cut both raises your savings and lowers the target you are saving towards.

An early retirement calculator built on 2026 US tax rules

Most early retirement calculators grow your savings at a flat rate and stop at 25 times your spending. That skips the parts that change the answer by years: how 401(k) deferrals and FICA interact, what the employer match adds, and the fact that most retirement accounts charge a penalty before 59½. This calculator runs your paycheck through the 2026 federal rules every year until you retire, then draws the money down year by year to the age you plan to.

The 2026 rules the projection applies each year
Rule2026How the calculator uses it
Federal income tax10% to 37%, after a $16,100 standard deduction (single)Applied to pay after 401(k) deferrals
FICA6.2% Social Security up to $184,500, 1.45% Medicare, 0.9% more above $200,000Charged on full pay; deferrals do not reduce it
401(k) deferral limit$24,500, plus $8,000 from 50 or $11,250 at 60 to 63Caps your own deferral by age
Employer match50% of deferrals up to 6% of pay, by defaultAdded to the 401(k) on top of your deferral
State income taxA flat rate you setApplied to income after deferrals
Penalty-free access59½401(k) and IRA money cannot pay for spending before it

Your brokerage account grows at its own return, less fees and a tax drag for dividends taxed along the way. The 401(k) and IRA pool grows untaxed. Once you retire, spending comes from the brokerage account until 59½, then from both pools in proportion. The figures come from the IRS 2026 inflation adjustments and 2026 retirement plan limits; Assumptions & method lists every one. IRA balances belong in the 401(k) + IRA balance; the IRA limit is $7,500 in 2026.

The bridge to 59½

Withdrawals from a 401(k) or IRA before 59½ generally carry a 10% additional tax on top of income tax (IRS). So if you stop work at 45, the 14½ years until 59½ have to be funded from money you can reach: a taxable brokerage account, cash, Roth IRA contributions, or part-time income. Those years are the bridge, and a plan with plenty in its 401(k) can still fail them.

The calculator tests the bridge directly. For every retirement age it tries, spending before 59½ can only come from the brokerage pool. If that runs out first, the age fails. The bridge panel shows how much you need outside retirement accounts, how much the projection has there, and the difference.

There are lawful ways to reach retirement money earlier: the Rule of 55, 72(t) substantially equal periodic payments, and a Roth conversion ladder (IRS exceptions). The calculator flags them in the bridge panel but does not assume you will use them, because each comes with conditions.

A worked example with real numbers

Marcus is a hypothetical 32-year-old earning $105,000 a year and spending $60,000. Marcus has $40,000 in the brokerage account and $85,000 in the 401(k), defers $15,000 a year into the 401(k), and wants $55,000 a year in retirement, in today’s dollars. With the calculator’s default assumptions, this is what the projection shows:

Take-home pay in year one
$70,998
Saved in year one, including the 401(k)
$29,148, a 32.7% savings rate
4% rule target
$1,375,000
Earliest age the money lasts to 95
50, in 18 years
Portfolio at that age, in today's dollars
$1.31 million
Bridge years before 59½
9.5 years: $523,000 of spending, with $533,000 in the brokerage account

The projection finds a retirement age with less than the 4% rule target, because it assumes steady returns that fund the plan to the end. The 4% rule is built to survive the worst historical sequences of returns, so the gap is the margin the plan gives up; the drawdown simulator shows how this portfolio fares when returns vary.

Two changes show what moves the answer:

  • Deferring only $6,300 a year, enough to collect the full match, brings the FIRE age forward to 49, with $1.15 million at retirement in today’s dollars, $673,000 of it in the brokerage account.
  • Deferring the full $24,500 limit pushes the FIRE age back to 53, with $1.74 million at retirement in today’s dollars, $451,000 of it in the brokerage account.

Deferring more cuts income tax now and builds a larger total, but 401(k) money cannot pay for the years before 59½ without an exception such as the Rule of 55 or 72(t) payments, which this projection does not assume. With less in the brokerage account, the bridge decides the retirement age.

Marcus is an illustration, not a recommendation. Enter your own figures in the calculator above to see your result.

Reading the result

Your FIRE age is the earliest age at which the money lasts to your plan-to age, 95 by default, with every year's spending paid in full.

Today's dollars. Every balance is shown in today's purchasing power, so a balance decades away is shown as what it would buy now.

Fixed returns. The projection assumes the same return every year. That keeps the answer stable, but it hides sequence risk, a run of poor years early in retirement. Run the plan through the drawdown simulator to see a range of outcomes.

Taxes in retirement default to 8% of withdrawals: a blend of long-term capital gains on the brokerage account and ordinary income on traditional 401(k) withdrawals, after the standard deduction. Roth accounts are not modelled separately.

Social Security is left out unless you add it under Other income & expenses.

What moves your FIRE age most

  • Retirement spending. Each $1,000 a year you plan to spend needs roughly $25,000 more invested at 4%. Cutting spending now also frees more to invest, so it shortens the timeline from both directions.
  • Your savings rate. The share of take-home pay you invest sets how fast the gap closes; the savings rate calculator shows it on its own.
  • 401(k) or brokerage. Deferrals cut income tax now and grow untaxed, but they are locked until 59½ without an exception. Brokerage savings are taxed first but fund the bridge. The calculator shows both effects at once.
  • The employer match. By default it adds 50% of your deferrals, up to 6% of pay. Deferring less than the match limit leaves part of it unpaid, which the projection reflects.
  • Fees and returns. The defaults are 8% a year before fees, 0.1% in brokerage fees and 0.2% in the 401(k), with 2.5% inflation. Why the defaults are reasonable explains each one.

Frequently asked questions

How can I access my 401(k) before 59½?

Three routes avoid the 10% additional tax. The Rule of 55 lets you take penalty-free withdrawals from the 401(k) of the employer you leave in or after the year you turn 55. 72(t) substantially equal periodic payments unlock an IRA at any age, if you keep taking them for five years or until 59½, whichever is longer. A Roth conversion ladder converts traditional money to Roth, and each conversion can be withdrawn penalty-free after five years. Roth IRA contributions can come out at any time (IRS).

How do early retirees get health insurance before Medicare?

Medicare starts at 65 (Medicare.gov). Before then the usual options are a spouse's employer plan, COBRA for a limited period after leaving a job, or a Marketplace plan, where premium tax credits depend on household income (HealthCare.gov). The enhanced credits expired at the end of 2025; unless Congress restores them, credits are again limited to incomes between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level. The calculator does not model premiums, so include them in retirement spending.

Is the 4% rule safe for a 40-year retirement?

The 4% rule was built on 30-year retirements in US history (Trinity study). Analyses of 40- and 50-year retirements on the same history tend to land between about 3% and 3.5%, unless spending can be cut in bad years. This calculator does not use the rule to find your FIRE age; it tests your plan year by year, and the drawdown simulator shows how often a withdrawal rate lasts across thousands of market paths.

Does the calculator include Social Security?

Only if you add it. Under Other income & expenses you can add Social Security, $24,000 a year from 67 by default, and change the amount and age. Your own estimate is in your my Social Security account; retiring early usually lowers it, because the benefit averages your highest 35 years of earnings.

Are taxes included?

Yes, while you work: federal brackets, the standard deduction, FICA, the 401(k) limits and the match are applied every year, plus a flat state rate if you set one. In retirement, withdrawals are taxed at one blended rate, 8% by default, which you can change under Assumptions.

Does it model Roth accounts?

Not separately. Deferrals are treated as traditional, pre-tax contributions, and retirement withdrawals are taxed at your blended rate. If most of your savings are Roth, a lower withdrawal tax rate will be closer to your situation, though Roth contributions also do not reduce tax while you work.

Can I use it if I'm married?

Yes. Choose married filing jointly to use the joint brackets and the $32,200 standard deduction. The calculator applies one person's 401(k) limit, so a couple with two workplace plans has more room to defer than it shows, and differences between spouses' ages and accounts are not modelled.

Is this financial advice?

No. The calculator works out estimates from the figures and assumptions you enter. It does not take your objectives, financial situation or needs into account and is not intended to be relied on for a decision about a financial product. For personal advice, speak to a licensed financial professional.

Sources

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